Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.646130 1.878943 2.134451 2.435923 2.782241 3.168019 3.630897
2025-09-07 1.362325 1.679653 2.056745 2.538933 3.140684 3.868907 4.820152
2025-09-14 1.144034 1.504922 1.963510 2.591343 3.432317 4.525205 6.061893
2025-09-21 0.960980 1.336492 1.842032 2.576359 3.622588 5.069859 7.241530
2025-09-28 0.797208 1.163597 1.682262 2.475696 3.669129 5.413667 8.187051
2025-10-05 0.727485 1.110094 1.677403 2.587919 4.028365 6.245442 9.966750
2025-10-12 0.673409 1.070036 1.683529 2.712467 4.417682 7.170447 12.030018
2025-10-19 0.613735 1.011658 1.651243 2.767854 4.698744 7.955357 13.978449
2025-10-26 0.561616 0.957664 1.617259 2.812542 4.963048 8.741744 16.043043
2025-11-02 0.497378 0.874482 1.523034 2.738742 5.006366 9.142759 17.462477
2025-11-09 0.432674 0.782242 1.401336 2.598345 4.906333 9.264010 18.360197
2025-11-16 0.394155 0.732350 1.348794 2.577586 5.025640 9.808179 20.166086
2025-11-23 0.354871 0.677514 1.282698 2.526326 5.086385 10.261935 21.895008
2025-11-30 0.339794 0.667119 1.299484 2.640516 5.496381 11.479185 25.458018
2025-12-07 0.319754 0.644510 1.289622 2.698999 5.798557 12.515411 28.800514
2025-12-14 0.294519 0.608363 1.248178 2.685399 5.942935 13.230216 31.525135
2025-12-21 0.263757 0.557167 1.169718 2.581309 5.870842 13.448992 33.098638
2025-12-28 0.255459 0.552854 1.189888 2.699122 6.323927 14.945840 38.105005
2026-01-04 0.248532 0.550676 1.214286 2.829598 6.825494 16.633247 43.909711
2026-01-11 0.236541 0.535729 1.208380 2.887662 7.158487 17.955059 48.982414
2026-01-18 0.224728 0.519837 1.198426 2.934468 7.469692 19.267919 54.273938
2026-01-25 0.205972 0.485564 1.141616 2.857367 7.449418 19.709113 57.153350
2026-02-01 0.184877 0.443436 1.061450 2.710631 7.223602 19.562556 58.268215